SAG Nominations: Surprise, Surprise

The SAG nominations came out today. Here’s a rundown of the film categories:

Best Ensemble Cast

Black Swan

The Fighter

The Kids Are All Right

The King’s Speech

The Social Network

Nothing too surprising. I would’ve thought True Grit make have made it in over Black Swan, but Aronofsky’s flick is turning out to be more of an awards season heavy-hitter than I’d expected.

 

Best Leading Actor

Jeff Bridges (True Grit)

Robert Duvall (Get Low)

Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)

Colin Firth (The King’s Speech)

James Franco (127 Hours)

This is my current predicted line-up for the Oscars. I think that Eisenberg is now right up there with Firth and Franco as a virtual lock for an Oscar nomination (yay!). Could he even be a dark horse for the win? He seems to be surpassing Franco in terms of buzz and recognition (NBR, Boston, Toronto have all given Eisenberg the win).

 

Best Leading Actress

Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right)

Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole)

Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone)

Natalie Portman (Black Swan)

Hilary Swank (Conviction)

Poor Leslie Manville. She wins the NBR award, and then gets snubbed completely by The Critics Choice Awards, The Globes, and now SAG. It is also rather strange to see Swank here, considering she’s been ignored by virtually every other awards group. But I think the core four ladies (Bening, Portman, Kidman, Lawrence) are all solidifying their Oscar noms. Now it’s just a fight for the fifth spot, and there are about five women who could potentially take it (Manville, Williams, Berry, Moore, Swank)

 

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale (The Fighter)

John Hawkes (Winter’s Bone)

Jeremy Renner (The Town)

Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right)

Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)

This category is still really up in the air. This shows that Garfield is not the lock that many think that he is (I wouldn’t be that surprised if he misses out on an Oscar nom), and that Bale and Rush are still the only two solid picks. Ruffalo has been up and down, and Renner and Hawkes are starting to build momentum. I think that Hawkes will be more of a critical darling, and probably miss out on an Oscar nom, though.

 

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams (The Fighter)

Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech)

Mila Kunis (Black Swan)

Melissa Leo (The Fighter)

Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit)

Another Mila Kunis nomination! I really didn’t expect her to be such a contender. The other four names here are fairly expected, but it’s interesting that Weaver missed out, given her multiple critics wins this season. She, Manville, and Garfield are definitely the biggest snubs in these nominations. Don’t count out the dark horses (Berry/Williams, Renner/Hawkes, Kunis) yet.

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